Nick Foles is now a Super Bowl winning quarterback. Let me explain how that can ruin his career.
The Philadelphia Eagles did what nobody believed they could do. They beat Bill Belichick and Tom Brady with their backup quarterback, Nick Foles. He even fucking caught a pass. The ballsy play calling from Eagles head coach Doug Pederson was magnificent all night, and his fearlessness is what finally brought the Lombardi to the city of Philadelphia.
Just like Minnesota Vikings, who played three very good quarterbacks this season, the Eagles now have a luxury problem. Carson Wentz is the face of the franchise, and was arguably the league MVP before toring his ACL this season. But Nick Foles is the only Super Bowl winning quarterback the Eagles has ever had. See the dilemma?
Now, I truly believe the Eagles will go back to Wentz next season. He’s younger, he’s faster, and he’s more versatile. And, he is the face of the franchise. The problem is that Nick Foles now deserves to be paid like a Super Bowl winning QB, and Eagles don’t have the money to keep two high end quarterbacks on their roster.
In other words, Nick Foles must leave Philadelphia if he wants to get paid. Right now, Foles is on an 11 million, 2-year contract with the Eagles. If he wants out before 2019, Eagles must either cut him or trade him. If they find a trade partner before March 18th, they’ll save 3 million in bonuses, but what makes it really interesting is that Eagles saves more cap space if they cut/trade him after June 1st. Do they dare to wait, when teams might find their solution in a QB heavy 2018 NFL draft in April?
Anyhow, let’s say Foles is traded to another NFL team this off-season. They won’t have to pay him right away, as he will still be under his current contract for the entire 2018 season, but the whole point of moving would be to get paid. So he’ll definitely be looking for a better contract this summer. He’ll probably get a contract worth around 100 million dollars. Yeah, I know, but there’s no way a Super Bowl winning QB should earn less then Alex Smith (4-year, 94 million). That would make him the 7th highest paid quarterback in the NFL.
So the big question is, who’s willing to pay him that? It has to be a team without a viable QB option, who feels they are in a win-now position. That excludes more than 80 percent of NFL teams. I can only think of a few. The Denver Broncos. The Arizona Cardinals. The Buffalo Bills. The New York Jets. The Cleveland Bro… win-now? Never mind.
So basically, there are four teams that can potentially sign Nick Foles. Now, let’s look at cap space. According to Overthecap.com, the Arizona Cardinals almost have no cap space in 2018. That should exclude them from signing both Nick Foles and Kirk Cousins, but we’ll see if they can work something out. Both the Bills and Broncos has decent cap space, and the Jets have all the space in the world, so it’s natural to believe one of those three teams are the best option for Foles. One of them will most likely choose Cousins. One will probably draft a guy. And Foles will hopefully land with the last.
I can really see him being a guy for the Jets. But that’s really not the point. No matter where he goes, he’ll be labeled Super Bowl winning QB, and the expectations will go with it. No matter where he goes, with that kind of money, he will be expected to take that team to the Super Bowl – again.
However, Nick Foles has been down this road before, and it didn’t end well. In 2013, he played his best football of his career. He beat records after records for the Eagles, and was ultimately traded to the Rams. Expectations was high, and he didn’t perform at all. After the Rams drafted Jared Goff, he was released. The Chiefs gave him a shot, but that didn’t work out either, and he apparently considered retiring. He most definitely is glad he didn’t now, but his story tells us he hasn’t performed outside Philadelphia. Can he do it the second time around, with a bigger pay check, and way higher expectations?
It wouldn’t be logical. We’ve seen it time and time again. Average players getting paid, and they stop playing well. It happened to Tavon Austin, and Percy Harvin. It happened to Jay Cutler, and it most definitely happened to Brock Osweiler. And it can happen to Nick Foles, if he decides to leave Philly for money.
It’s weird how this business works, but winning the Super Bowl could ultimately be the end of Nick Foles’ career.